Small Scales and Extreme Events: The Hurricane - IPAM

Small Scales and Extreme Events: The Hurricane

February 12 - 16, 2007

Schedule

All times in this Schedule are Pacific Time (PT)

Monday, February 12, 2007

Morning Session

08:00-08:50
Check-In/Light Breakfast (Hosted by IPAM)
08:50-09:00
Welcome and Opening Remarks
09:00-10:30
Michael Montgomery (Naval Postgraduate School)
Fundamental Aspects of Tropical Cyclone Dynamics Part I: On the Role of Coherent Vortex Structures During Cyclogenesis, Rapid Intensification and Maturity.
10:30-10:45
Break
10:45-12:15
Andrew Majda (New York University)
Information Theory, Angular Momentum and Intense Geophysical Vortices

Afternoon Session

12:15-14:00
Lunch (on your own)
14:00-14:50
Wayne Schubert (Colorado State University)
On the Distribution of Subsidence in the Hurricane Eye
15:00-15:50
Isaac Held (National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA))
Rotating radiative-convective equilibria at low resolution in large domains
16:00-16:30
Coffee Break at LaKretz
16:30-18:00
Kerry Emanuel (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
<font color=red>Public Lecture</font> (located at LaKretz Hall, Rm 110) - <font color=red>Divine Wind: The History and Science of Hurricanes</font>, click on Presentation PDF below for a program poster.
18:0-19:00
Reception (Location: IPAM Lobby)

Tuesday, February 13, 2007

Morning Session

08:00-08:30
Continental Breakfast
08:30-09:20
Kristen Corbosiero (National Center for Atmospheric Research)
The Inner Core Structure and Intensity Change of Hurricane Elena (1985)
09:30-10:00
Break
10:00-10:50
Roger Smith (Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München)
Fundamental aspects of tropical-cyclone dynamics. PART II: Buoyancy, size, and the boundary layer
11:00-11:50
(Keith Julien) (University of Colorado Boulder)
Generalized Quasi-geostrophy for Spatially Anisotropic Rotationally Constrained Flows: Non-Hydrostatic Flows

Afternoon Session

12:00-14:30
Lunch (on your own)
14:30-15:20
Kerry Emanuel (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
The Hurricane Embryo
15:30-16:00
Break
16:00-16:50
Michael Montgomery (Naval Postgraduate School)
Fundamental Aspects of Tropical Cyclone Dynamics. Part III: The Hurricane Engine's Turbobooster, or More Power to Hurricanes and Typhoons.

Wednesday, February 14, 2007

Morning Session

08:00-08:30
Continental Breakfast
08:30-09:20
Xiaoming Wang (Florida State University)
The Emergence of Large Scale Coherent Structure under Random Small Scale Bombardments and Convection at Large Prandtl Number
09:30-10:00
Break
10:00-10:50
Rupert Klein (Freie Universität Berlin)
Multi-scale analyses for intense atmospheric vortices
11:00-11:50
Markos Katsoulakis (University of Massachusetts Amherst)
Hybrid couplings of small-scale systems to large-scale dynamics

Afternoon Session

12:00-14:30
Lunch (on your own)
14:30-15:20
Wojciech Grabowski (National Center for Atmospheric Research)
Modeling of Moist Convection
15:30-16:00
Break
16:00-16:50
Joseph Biello (University of California, Davis (UC Davis))
A new Multi-scale model of the Madden-Julian oscillation

Thursday, February 15, 2007

Morning Session

08:00-08:30
Continental Breakfast
08:30-09:20
Joseph Tribbia (National Center for Atmospheric Research)
Quantifying Uncertainty using Ensemble Methods: Coherent vortex predictability
09:30-10:00
Break
10:00-10:50
Richard Kleeman (New York University)
Mid-latitude statistical predictability of the atmosphere. Variability and the potential impact of tropical convection
11:00-11:50
Chris Snyder (National Center for Atmospheric Research)
Putting a Vortex in its Place

Afternoon Session

12:00-14:30
Lunch (on your own)
14:30-15:20
Xiaolei Zhou (Florida State University)
Using Observations to Improve Hurricane Initialization
15:30-16:00
Break
16:00-16:50
John Harlim (North Carolina State University)
Offline test criteria for filtering complex dynamical system
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